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1. Implied Volatility (IV)
- Target IV: Moderate to High (higher IV means higher premiums)
- Why? High IV inflates option prices, allowing you to collect more credit upfront.
2. Probability of Profit (POP)
- Target: 65%+
- Why? A good credit spread setup should have a high probability of expiring worthless so you can keep the premium.
3. Delta (∆)
- Sell Leg Delta: 0.25 – 0.40 (for a balance of risk-reward)
- Buy Leg Delta: 0.10 – 0.20
- Why? A delta of 0.25-0.40 means there’s a 60-75% probability that the option will expire out of the money (OTM).
4. Bid-Ask Spread
- Target: Tight Spread (<$0.10 difference)
- Why? Tight spreads ensure easy entry/exit and avoid slippage losses.
5. Open Interest & Volume
- Target: 1000+ Open Interest & high daily volume
- Why? High OI & volume ensure liquidity, reducing the risk of poor fills.
6. Credit Received
- Target: 30-40% of the width of the spread
- Example: For a $5-wide spread, aim for a $1.50 – $2.00 credit.
- Why? Ensures a good risk-reward balance.
7. Days to Expiration (DTE)
- Target: 30-45 Days
- Why? This period balances theta decay and profit-taking opportunities.
8. Theta Decay (Time Decay)
- Target: Higher Theta (closer to expiration, more decay)
- Why? Selling premium benefits from time decay.
9. Support & Resistance Levels
- For Bull Put Spreads: Sell below key support levels.
- For Bear Call Spreads: Sell above key resistance levels.
- Why? Ensures a higher probability of staying OTM.
10. Earnings & News Events
- Avoid credit spreads before earnings or major news.
- Why? IV crush & unexpected moves can blow up spreads.